Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Expensive Burn

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #436
31decks
As CommanderAs CardAverage DeckDecks
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1
234
5
Budget
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Smaug, Wicked Worm
47%inclusion14 decks30 decks
5.8xlift
Smaug the Magnificent
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
5.1xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
33%inclusion10 decks30 decks
8.2xlift
Draconic Visitor
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
17xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
8.0xlift
Top Cards
Dark Ritual
97%inclusion30 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Blasphemous Act
94%inclusion29 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Deflecting Swat
90%inclusion28 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Mayhem Devil
90%inclusion28 decks31 decks
3.1xlift
Demonic Tutor
84%inclusion26 decks31 decks
1.5xlift
Jeska's Will
84%inclusion26 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Seething Song
81%inclusion25 decks31 decks
2.2xlift
Self-Destruct
77%inclusion24 decks31 decks
12xlift
Pyrohemia
77%inclusion24 decks31 decks
7.8xlift
Pestilence
77%inclusion24 decks31 decks
10xlift
High Lift Cards
Chain Lightning
68%inclusion21 decks31 decks
13xlift
Cut Propulsion
65%inclusion20 decks31 decks
13xlift
Pariah's Shield
52%inclusion16 decks31 decks
13xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
13xlift
Blazing Sunsteel
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
13xlift
Flame Slash
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
13xlift
Expedited Inheritance
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
13xlift
Dizzying Gaze
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
13xlift
Fiendlash
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
12xlift
Last Laugh
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
10xlift
Creatures
Professional Face-Breaker
74%inclusion23 decks31 decks
3.5xlift
Hexing Squelcher
71%inclusion22 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
65%inclusion20 decks31 decks
4.5xlift
Goldspan Dragon
65%inclusion20 decks31 decks
5.1xlift
Xorn
58%inclusion18 decks31 decks
5.0xlift
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Weftstalker Ardent
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
5.7xlift
Mirkwood Bats
52%inclusion16 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
48%inclusion15 decks31 decks
5.6xlift
Academy Manufactor
48%inclusion15 decks31 decks
5.6xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
6.5xlift
Crime Novelist
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
5.5xlift
Marionette Apprentice
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
3.4xlift
Orcish Bowmasters
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Brash Taunter
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
4.2xlift
Disciple of the Vault
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
7.3xlift
Hellkite Tyrant
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
10xlift
Knuckles the Echidna
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
6.0xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
1.9xlift
Ancient Copper Dragon
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
3.3xlift
Treasonous Ogre
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
4.7xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
4.7xlift
Ingenious Artillerist
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
5.2xlift
Roaming Throne
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Grim Hireling
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Walking Ballista
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Havoc Jester
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
10xlift
Boggart Trawler
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Pinnacle Monk
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Shadow the Hedgehog
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
10xlift
Opposition Agent
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Mastermind Plum
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
4.9xlift
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Blood Pet
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
2.8xlift
Ruthless Knave
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Solemn Simulacrum
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Crypt Rats
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
6.5xlift
Hoarding Broodlord
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Juri, Master of the Revue
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.4xlift
Stuffy Doll
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Ruthless Technomancer
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.2xlift
Goldlust Triad
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.6xlift
_____ Goblin
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
5.2xlift
Solphim, Mayhem Dominus
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.2xlift
Generous Plunderer
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Quicksmith Genius
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Hellkite Courser
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Barbed Servitor
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Instants
Vampiric Tutor
77%inclusion24 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Lightning Bolt
68%inclusion21 decks31 decks
1.9xlift
Redirect Lightning
61%inclusion19 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Deadly Rollick
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Fire Covenant
48%inclusion15 decks31 decks
3.4xlift
Big Score
48%inclusion15 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Deadly Dispute
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.9xlift
Cabal Ritual
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Pyretic Ritual
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Bolt Bend
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
2.0xlift
Red Elemental Blast
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Pyroblast
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Chaos Warp
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Desperate Ritual
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Unexpected Windfall
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Abrade
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Valakut Awakening
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
The Last Agni Kai
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
2.9xlift
Untimely Malfunction
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Fell the Profane
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Tainted Pact
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Simulacrum
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
9.3xlift
Starstorm
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
7.2xlift
Terminate
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Culling the Weak
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Withering Torment
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Stinging Study
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
5.2xlift
Imp's Mischief
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Rakdos Charm
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Ad Nauseam
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Not of This World
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
7.8xlift
Final Fortune
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Comet Storm
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
4.9xlift
Rain of Filth
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Demand Answers
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Galvanic Blast
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
7.8xlift
Saw in Half
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Flare of Duplication
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Sacrifice
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.6xlift
Thrill of Possibility
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.4xlift
Entomb
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Reiterate
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Burnt Offering
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Blood for the Blood God!
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Malakir Rebirth
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.2xlift
Flashback
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Vision of Love
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.6xlift
Sorceries
Wheel of Fortune
52%inclusion16 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Chain Reaction
48%inclusion15 decks31 decks
8.1xlift
Star of Extinction
48%inclusion15 decks31 decks
8.9xlift
Exsanguinate
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
3.0xlift
Gamble
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Beseech the Mirror
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
2.2xlift
Imperial Seal
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Crackle with Power
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
4.2xlift
Mana Geyser
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Torment of Hailfire
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
2.4xlift
Dragon's Desire
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
8.7xlift
Rite of Flame
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Reckless Endeavor
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
10xlift
Diabolic Intent
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Yawgmoth's Will
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
2.3xlift
Vandalblast
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.9xlift
Wheel of Misfortune
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Geosurge
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
10xlift
Strike It Rich
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Infernal Plunge
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
2.3xlift
Faithless Looting
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.4xlift
Feed the Swarm
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Blood Money
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Cave-In
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
13xlift
Reanimate
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Grim Tutor
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Grapeshot
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Hex Magic
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Desolation of Smaug
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
7.8xlift
Will of the Jeskai
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Past in Flames
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Rolling Earthquake
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
3.7xlift
Read the Bones
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Night's Whisper
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.2xlift
Fireball
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Sign in Blood
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Sundering Eruption
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Utility Artifacts
The One Ring
74%inclusion23 decks31 decks
2.2xlift
Ruby Medallion
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
3.0xlift
Wishclaw Talisman
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Swiftfoot Boots
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Grinding Station
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Shadowspear
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Requiem Monolith
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
8.7xlift
Bolas's Citadel
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.5xlift
Krark-Clan Ironworks
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
4.9xlift
Defense Grid
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.5xlift
Vexing Bauble
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Staff of Nin
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Clock of Omens
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
5.2xlift
Dragonspark Reactor
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
13xlift
Jet Medallion
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.4xlift
The Endstone
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
6.5xlift
Coin of Mastery
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
3.7xlift
Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.4xlift
Enchantments
Pain for All
65%inclusion20 decks31 decks
10xlift
Revel in Riches
61%inclusion19 decks31 decks
6.0xlift
Black Market Connections
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Underworld Breach
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Necropotence
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Spiteful Banditry
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
6.1xlift
Descent into Avernus
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Phyrexian Arena
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
City on Fire
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Fiery Emancipation
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Alchemist's Talent
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Rain of Riches
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
4.1xlift
Exquisite Blood
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
5.6xlift
Necrodominance
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
10xlift
There and Back Again
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Fated Firepower
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Utility Lands
Ancient Tomb
81%inclusion25 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
61%inclusion19 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Urza's Saga
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
2.0xlift
Bojuka Bog
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Cabal Coffers
26%inclusion8 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Treasure Vault
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
3.5xlift
Great Furnace
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
2.9xlift
Arena of Glory
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Command Beacon
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Vault of Whispers
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
3.4xlift
Emergence Zone
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Reliquary Tower
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
City of Traitors
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Phyrexian Tower
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Mines of Moria
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
2.6xlift
Crystal Vein
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Inventors' Fair
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
3.3xlift
Witch's Clinic
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Buried Ruin
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
3.3xlift
Takenuma, Abandoned Mire
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Barbarian Ring
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.6xlift
Rogue's Passage
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Mana Artifacts
Arcane Signet
100%inclusion31 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Sol Ring
100%inclusion31 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
71%inclusion22 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Mox Opal
68%inclusion21 decks31 decks
3.1xlift
Chrome Mox
61%inclusion19 decks31 decks
2.1xlift
Mana Vault
58%inclusion18 decks31 decks
2.4xlift
Rakdos Signet
52%inclusion16 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Lotus Petal
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Mox Diamond
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
2.4xlift
Fellwar Stone
39%inclusion12 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Lion's Eye Diamond
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
2.6xlift
Grim Monolith
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
2.3xlift
Thran Dynamo
23%inclusion7 decks31 decks
6.1xlift
Thought Vessel
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Cursed Mirror
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Mox Amber
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
The Soul Stone
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Gilded Lotus
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
7.8xlift
Mox Jasper
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
13xlift
Everflowing Chalice
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.9xlift
Basalt Monolith
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
4.3xlift
Mind Stone
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Lands
Swamp
100%inclusion31 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Mountain
100%inclusion31 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
97%inclusion30 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Blood Crypt
94%inclusion29 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Badlands
87%inclusion27 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Luxury Suite
77%inclusion24 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Bloodstained Mire
77%inclusion24 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Raucous Theater
68%inclusion21 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Blazemire Verge
65%inclusion20 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Sulfurous Springs
65%inclusion20 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Mount Doom
61%inclusion19 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Dragonskull Summit
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Cavern of Souls
55%inclusion17 decks31 decks
2.5xlift
Gemstone Caverns
52%inclusion16 decks31 decks
2.1xlift
Graven Cairns
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Mana Confluence
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
1.8xlift
Haunted Ridge
45%inclusion14 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Scalding Tarn
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Blightstep Pathway
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
City of Brass
42%inclusion13 decks31 decks
1.7xlift
Exotic Orchard
39%inclusion12 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Smoldering Marsh
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
0.8xlift
Arid Mesa
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Polluted Delta
35%inclusion11 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Wooded Foothills
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Verdant Catacombs
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
1.1xlift
Tainted Peak
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Marsh Flats
32%inclusion10 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Valakut Awakening
29%inclusion9 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
19%inclusion6 decks31 decks
1.2xlift
Fell the Profane
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Reflecting Pool
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.4xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
16%inclusion5 decks31 decks
1.9xlift
Foreboding Ruins
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Boggart Trawler
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
1.3xlift
Pinnacle Monk
13%inclusion4 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Prismatic Vista
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.5xlift
Temple of Malice
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.9xlift
Plaza of Heroes
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
1.0xlift
Dark Fortress
10%inclusion3 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Gemstone Mine
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
6.5xlift
Fabled Passage
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.6xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.3xlift
Canyon Slough
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
Spire of Industry
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.5xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.4xlift
Tarnished Citadel
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
2.4xlift
Talon Gates of Madara
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
1.9xlift
Malakir Rebirth
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.2xlift
Sundering Eruption
6.5%inclusion2 decks31 decks
0.7xlift
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