Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Burn

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #436
319decks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Smaug the Magnificent
78%inclusion250 decks319 decks
7.9xlift
Smaug, Wicked Worm
72%inclusion214 decks298 decks
7.2xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
61%inclusion194 decks319 decks
9.3xlift
Dragon's Desire
41%inclusion130 decks319 decks
10xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
35%inclusion106 decks307 decks
7.0xlift
Top Cards
Blasphemous Act
96%inclusion305 decks319 decks
1.7xlift
Mayhem Devil
83%inclusion264 decks319 decks
3.1xlift
Mirkwood Bats
78%inclusion248 decks319 decks
4.9xlift
Goldspan Dragon
77%inclusion247 decks319 decks
5.6xlift
Self-Destruct
76%inclusion244 decks319 decks
11xlift
Cut Propulsion
75%inclusion240 decks319 decks
13xlift
Pain for All
75%inclusion239 decks319 decks
10xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
73%inclusion232 decks319 decks
5.4xlift
Dark Ritual
71%inclusion225 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Pestilence
66%inclusion212 decks319 decks
8.7xlift
High Lift Cards
Dizzying Gaze
8.2%inclusion26 decks319 decks
13xlift
Pariah's Shield
64%inclusion203 decks319 decks
12xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
63%inclusion200 decks319 decks
12xlift
Blazing Sunsteel
46%inclusion147 decks319 decks
12xlift
Simulacrum
13%inclusion40 decks319 decks
12xlift
Expedited Inheritance
16%inclusion51 decks319 decks
11xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
36%inclusion114 decks319 decks
11xlift
Fiendlash
24%inclusion77 decks319 decks
11xlift
Shivan Meteor
8.5%inclusion27 decks319 decks
11xlift
Dragonspeaker Shaman
22%inclusion70 decks319 decks
10xlift
Creatures
Professional Face-Breaker
64%inclusion205 decks319 decks
3.6xlift
Weftstalker Ardent
63%inclusion201 decks319 decks
5.4xlift
Xorn
62%inclusion198 decks319 decks
5.3xlift
Hellkite Tyrant
60%inclusion192 decks319 decks
8.1xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
59%inclusion188 decks319 decks
5.8xlift
Academy Manufactor
57%inclusion181 decks319 decks
5.7xlift
Marionette Apprentice
53%inclusion169 decks319 decks
4.4xlift
Crime Novelist
45%inclusion143 decks319 decks
5.2xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
40%inclusion128 decks319 decks
6.5xlift
Ingenious Artillerist
40%inclusion127 decks319 decks
6.2xlift
Hexing Squelcher
39%inclusion123 decks319 decks
1.9xlift
Brash Taunter
36%inclusion114 decks319 decks
2.4xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
33%inclusion106 decks319 decks
5.9xlift
Ancient Copper Dragon
32%inclusion102 decks319 decks
5.9xlift
Disciple of the Vault
32%inclusion101 decks319 decks
5.5xlift
Knuckles the Echidna
29%inclusion93 decks319 decks
6.3xlift
Juri, Master of the Revue
27%inclusion86 decks319 decks
4.7xlift
Draconic Visitor
26%inclusion30 decks116 decks
8.1xlift
Rivaz of the Claw
25%inclusion79 decks319 decks
10xlift
Grim Hireling
23%inclusion72 decks319 decks
2.7xlift
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
18%inclusion56 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Orcish Bowmasters
18%inclusion56 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Havoc Jester
17%inclusion53 decks319 decks
10xlift
Dragonlord's Servant
16%inclusion51 decks319 decks
10xlift
Terror of the Peaks
14%inclusion44 decks319 decks
3.3xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
13%inclusion43 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Twinflame Tyrant
13%inclusion42 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Decadent Dragon
13%inclusion42 decks319 decks
3.3xlift
Mastermind Plum
13%inclusion40 decks319 decks
4.7xlift
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
12%inclusion38 decks319 decks
4.2xlift
Marionette Master
11%inclusion36 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Goldlust Triad
11%inclusion34 decks319 decks
3.5xlift
Magda, the Hoardmaster
10%inclusion32 decks319 decks
3.5xlift
Generous Plunderer
10%inclusion32 decks319 decks
2.4xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
9.4%inclusion30 decks319 decks
1.7xlift
Barbed Servitor
9.1%inclusion29 decks319 decks
4.6xlift
Roaming Throne
8.5%inclusion27 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Atsushi, the Blazing Sky
8.2%inclusion26 decks319 decks
3.4xlift
Screaming Nemesis
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Shadow the Hedgehog
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
5.8xlift
Smaug, the Great Calamity
7.4%inclusion22 decks296 decks
8.5xlift
Kalain, Reclusive Painter
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
2.7xlift
Prosper, Tome-Bound
6.6%inclusion21 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Captain Lannery Storm
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
3.0xlift
Stuffy Doll
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
3.1xlift
Treasonous Ogre
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Imskir Iron-Eater
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
5.2xlift
Hedron Detonator
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
4.9xlift
Ganax, Astral Hunter
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
5.5xlift
Blazing Firesinger
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
3.5xlift
Instants
Lightning Bolt
62%inclusion199 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Big Score
60%inclusion191 decks319 decks
2.2xlift
Deadly Dispute
54%inclusion171 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Seething Song
50%inclusion158 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Unexpected Windfall
45%inclusion142 decks319 decks
2.7xlift
Abrade
44%inclusion141 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Chaos Warp
44%inclusion139 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Bolt Bend
40%inclusion129 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Deflecting Swat
40%inclusion128 decks319 decks
1.5xlift
Fire Covenant
37%inclusion119 decks319 decks
3.7xlift
Redirect Lightning
33%inclusion104 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Return the Favor
24%inclusion76 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Demand Answers
23%inclusion73 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Pyretic Ritual
23%inclusion72 decks319 decks
1.7xlift
Untimely Malfunction
22%inclusion70 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Vampiric Tutor
21%inclusion68 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Terminate
20%inclusion65 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Starstorm
20%inclusion64 decks319 decks
8.9xlift
Rakdos Charm
20%inclusion63 decks319 decks
0.4xlift
Deadly Rollick
19%inclusion62 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
The Last Agni Kai
18%inclusion57 decks319 decks
2.9xlift
Valakut Awakening
17%inclusion53 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Imp's Mischief
16%inclusion52 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
16%inclusion50 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Cabal Ritual
15%inclusion47 decks319 decks
1.5xlift
Red Elemental Blast
13%inclusion43 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Fell the Profane
13%inclusion41 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Withering Torment
12%inclusion39 decks319 decks
0.5xlift
Bedevil
12%inclusion38 decks319 decks
0.4xlift
Thrill of Possibility
11%inclusion34 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Desperate Ritual
10%inclusion31 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Pyroblast
10%inclusion31 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Galvanic Blast
8.8%inclusion28 decks319 decks
6.7xlift
Vision of Love
8.8%inclusion28 decks319 decks
3.4xlift
Soul's Fire
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
4.5xlift
Malakir Rebirth
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
0.4xlift
Arcbond
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
4.5xlift
Stinging Study
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
5.3xlift
Comet Storm
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
2.5xlift
Flashback
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Stonesplitter Bolt
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
8.9xlift
Fire Magic
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
1.5xlift
Lightning Strike
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Electrodominance
5.0%inclusion16 decks319 decks
1.7xlift
Flick a Coin
5.0%inclusion16 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Sorceries
Star of Extinction
63%inclusion202 decks319 decks
9.2xlift
Chain Reaction
61%inclusion195 decks319 decks
6.9xlift
Chain Lightning
60%inclusion191 decks319 decks
10xlift
Exsanguinate
47%inclusion150 decks319 decks
2.8xlift
Jeska's Will
42%inclusion133 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Crackle with Power
41%inclusion132 decks319 decks
5.3xlift
Mana Geyser
36%inclusion115 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Night's Whisper
29%inclusion94 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Demonic Tutor
28%inclusion89 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Torment of Hailfire
26%inclusion83 decks319 decks
3.4xlift
Reckless Endeavor
23%inclusion72 decks319 decks
7.5xlift
Faithless Looting
22%inclusion71 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Feed the Swarm
22%inclusion71 decks319 decks
0.5xlift
Desolation of Smaug
20%inclusion63 decks319 decks
8.3xlift
Seize the Spoils
19%inclusion62 decks319 decks
1.9xlift
Vandalblast
18%inclusion58 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Flame Slash
16%inclusion50 decks319 decks
10xlift
Sign in Blood
14%inclusion44 decks319 decks
0.5xlift
Reanimate
13%inclusion40 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Gamble
11%inclusion34 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Diabolic Tutor
10%inclusion32 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Read the Bones
10%inclusion32 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Hell to Pay
8.2%inclusion26 decks319 decks
3.4xlift
Beseech the Mirror
8.2%inclusion26 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Blood Money
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Pirate's Pillage
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Geosurge
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
10xlift
Rite of Flame
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Chandra's Ignition
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Brass's Bounty
6.6%inclusion21 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Wheel of Fortune
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Diabolic Intent
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Jaya's Immolating Inferno
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Strike It Rich
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Insatiable Avarice
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Grapeshot
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Inside Information
5.0%inclusion15 decks298 decks
3.3xlift
Utility Artifacts
Swiftfoot Boots
39%inclusion124 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Ruby Medallion
34%inclusion107 decks319 decks
1.7xlift
The One Ring
29%inclusion92 decks319 decks
3.2xlift
Requiem Monolith
28%inclusion88 decks319 decks
8.6xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
27%inclusion87 decks319 decks
4.5xlift
Idol of Oblivion
14%inclusion46 decks319 decks
3.6xlift
My Precious
10%inclusion32 decks319 decks
3.2xlift
Jet Medallion
10%inclusion31 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
9.1%inclusion29 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Lightning Greaves
9.1%inclusion29 decks319 decks
0.2xlift
Cranial Ram
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
5.8xlift
Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor
7.5%inclusion24 decks319 decks
5.3xlift
Dragonspark Reactor
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
10xlift
Basilisk Collar
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
0.5xlift
Cranial Plating
6.6%inclusion21 decks319 decks
4.7xlift
Wishclaw Talisman
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Coin of Mastery
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
4.2xlift
The Fire Crystal
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Shadowspear
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Enchantments
Pyrohemia
66%inclusion209 decks319 decks
7.9xlift
Revel in Riches
55%inclusion175 decks319 decks
6.2xlift
Black Market Connections
41%inclusion132 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Alchemist's Talent
41%inclusion130 decks319 decks
6.2xlift
Rain of Riches
40%inclusion127 decks319 decks
5.5xlift
Spiteful Banditry
29%inclusion92 decks319 decks
6.3xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
23%inclusion72 decks314 decks
7.1xlift
Phyrexian Arena
23%inclusion72 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
There and Back Again
22%inclusion69 decks319 decks
7.1xlift
Descent into Avernus
19%inclusion61 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Fiery Emancipation
18%inclusion57 decks319 decks
1.6xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
17%inclusion54 decks319 decks
4.8xlift
City on Fire
9.4%inclusion30 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Last Laugh
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
8.3xlift
Underworld Breach
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Curse of Opulence
6.6%inclusion21 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Last Light of Durin's Day
5.1%inclusion16 decks312 decks
8.7xlift
Necropotence
5.0%inclusion16 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Utility Lands
Bojuka Bog
45%inclusion142 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Treasure Vault
37%inclusion118 decks319 decks
5.0xlift
Mines of Moria
28%inclusion90 decks319 decks
4.7xlift
Reliquary Tower
24%inclusion76 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
24%inclusion76 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Rogue's Passage
20%inclusion64 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Ancient Tomb
19%inclusion62 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Command Beacon
16%inclusion50 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Great Furnace
15%inclusion48 decks319 decks
2.9xlift
Vault of Whispers
12%inclusion39 decks319 decks
2.8xlift
Urza's Saga
12%inclusion39 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Witch's Clinic
11%inclusion34 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Arena of Glory
10%inclusion32 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Cabal Coffers
8.8%inclusion28 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Temple of the False God
7.5%inclusion24 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
War Room
6.6%inclusion21 decks319 decks
1.9xlift
Valakut, the Molten Pinnacle
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
3.8xlift
Spinerock Knoll
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
0.4xlift
Inventors' Fair
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
3.7xlift
Takenuma, Abandoned Mire
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Mana Artifacts
Sol Ring
96%inclusion307 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Arcane Signet
88%inclusion282 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
60%inclusion191 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Rakdos Signet
46%inclusion146 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Fellwar Stone
33%inclusion105 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Thought Vessel
19%inclusion60 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Mind Stone
16%inclusion50 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Thran Dynamo
13%inclusion42 decks319 decks
3.5xlift
Mana Vault
10%inclusion33 decks319 decks
2.5xlift
Lotus Petal
10%inclusion31 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Exploding Barrel
10%inclusion31 decks319 decks
11xlift
Chrome Mox
9.1%inclusion29 decks319 decks
1.9xlift
Dragon's Hoard
8.8%inclusion28 decks319 decks
7.2xlift
Mox Opal
8.5%inclusion27 decks319 decks
2.5xlift
Cursed Mirror
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Liquimetal Torque
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
1.7xlift
Glittering Stockpile
6.3%inclusion20 decks319 decks
2.3xlift
Commander's Sphere
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Lands
Mountain
99%inclusion315 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Swamp
98%inclusion312 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
90%inclusion286 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Dragonskull Summit
77%inclusion247 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Smoldering Marsh
72%inclusion231 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Blood Crypt
66%inclusion209 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Sulfurous Springs
57%inclusion182 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Luxury Suite
56%inclusion178 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Haunted Ridge
50%inclusion158 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Foreboding Ruins
48%inclusion152 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Blazemire Verge
47%inclusion149 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Bloodstained Mire
44%inclusion140 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Tainted Peak
40%inclusion129 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Graven Cairns
37%inclusion117 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Exotic Orchard
29%inclusion93 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Dark Fortress
29%inclusion93 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
Raucous Theater
29%inclusion92 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Blightstep Pathway
26%inclusion83 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Mount Doom
26%inclusion82 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
25%inclusion80 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
19%inclusion60 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Temple of Malice
18%inclusion56 decks319 decks
0.6xlift
Cavern of Souls
17%inclusion55 decks319 decks
3.0xlift
Valakut Awakening
17%inclusion53 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
16%inclusion52 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Badlands
15%inclusion49 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Fabled Passage
15%inclusion48 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Path of Ancestry
15%inclusion48 decks319 decks
0.9xlift
Canyon Slough
14%inclusion45 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Fell the Profane
13%inclusion41 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
Evolving Wilds
11%inclusion36 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Reflecting Pool
10%inclusion31 decks319 decks
2.1xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
8.8%inclusion28 decks319 decks
0.7xlift
Malakir Rebirth
7.8%inclusion25 decks319 decks
0.4xlift
Arid Mesa
7.5%inclusion24 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Scalding Tarn
7.5%inclusion24 decks319 decks
1.2xlift
Bloodfell Caves
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
0.4xlift
Gemstone Caverns
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
1.8xlift
City of Brass
7.2%inclusion23 decks319 decks
1.1xlift
Wooded Foothills
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Mana Confluence
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
1.3xlift
Polluted Delta
6.9%inclusion22 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
6.0%inclusion19 decks319 decks
1.4xlift
Myriad Landscape
5.6%inclusion18 decks319 decks
0.5xlift
Turbulent Crater
5.4%inclusion6 decks112 decks
0.6xlift
Verdant Catacombs
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
1.0xlift
Marsh Flats
5.3%inclusion17 decks319 decks
0.8xlift
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