Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Optimized Burn

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #438
65decks
As CommanderAs CardAverage DeckDecks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Smaug the Magnificent
80%inclusion52 decks65 decks
5.0xlift
Smaug, Wicked Worm
61%inclusion39 decks64 decks
5.2xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
55%inclusion36 decks65 decks
5.2xlift
Dragon's Desire
42%inclusion27 decks65 decks
5.0xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
25%inclusion16 decks64 decks
5.3xlift
Top Cards
Blasphemous Act
98%inclusion64 decks65 decks
1.6xlift
Mayhem Devil
92%inclusion60 decks65 decks
2.9xlift
Cut Propulsion
88%inclusion57 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Chain Lightning
82%inclusion53 decks65 decks
6.0xlift
Self-Destruct
82%inclusion53 decks65 decks
6.3xlift
Pyrohemia
82%inclusion53 decks65 decks
4.9xlift
Pain for All
80%inclusion52 decks65 decks
5.6xlift
Goldspan Dragon
80%inclusion52 decks65 decks
4.1xlift
Pestilence
78%inclusion51 decks65 decks
5.3xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
78%inclusion51 decks65 decks
4.1xlift
High Lift Cards
Cranial Ram
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Geosurge
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Dragonspark Reactor
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Dizzying Gaze
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Flame Slash
23%inclusion15 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Simulacrum
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Pariah's Shield
66%inclusion43 decks65 decks
6.5xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
68%inclusion44 decks65 decks
6.4xlift
Smaug, the Great Calamity
10%inclusion6 decks63 decks
6.3xlift
Star of Extinction
72%inclusion47 decks65 decks
6.2xlift
Creatures
Mirkwood Bats
78%inclusion51 decks65 decks
4.1xlift
Weftstalker Ardent
66%inclusion43 decks65 decks
4.4xlift
Professional Face-Breaker
65%inclusion42 decks65 decks
2.9xlift
Xorn
65%inclusion42 decks65 decks
4.0xlift
Hellkite Tyrant
63%inclusion41 decks65 decks
5.5xlift
Academy Manufactor
60%inclusion39 decks65 decks
4.6xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
57%inclusion37 decks65 decks
4.9xlift
Marionette Apprentice
52%inclusion34 decks65 decks
3.5xlift
Hexing Squelcher
52%inclusion34 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
46%inclusion30 decks65 decks
4.3xlift
Crime Novelist
42%inclusion27 decks65 decks
3.9xlift
Brash Taunter
40%inclusion26 decks65 decks
2.6xlift
Disciple of the Vault
40%inclusion26 decks65 decks
4.3xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
38%inclusion25 decks65 decks
4.2xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
37%inclusion24 decks65 decks
5.7xlift
Knuckles the Echidna
35%inclusion23 decks65 decks
4.2xlift
Ancient Copper Dragon
34%inclusion22 decks65 decks
3.6xlift
Ingenious Artillerist
32%inclusion21 decks65 decks
4.7xlift
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
28%inclusion18 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Orcish Bowmasters
26%inclusion17 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Grim Hireling
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
2.2xlift
Rivaz of the Claw
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
5.9xlift
Juri, Master of the Revue
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
5.0xlift
Havoc Jester
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
5.7xlift
Dragonspeaker Shaman
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
6.1xlift
Draconic Visitor
14%inclusion3 decks21 decks
4.5xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.2xlift
Terror of the Peaks
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
2.4xlift
Goldlust Triad
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
3.0xlift
Barbed Servitor
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
5.4xlift
Magda, the Hoardmaster
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
5.2xlift
Twinflame Tyrant
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Treasonous Ogre
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
1.7xlift
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
4.0xlift
Generous Plunderer
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
2.4xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.4xlift
Dragonlord's Servant
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
5.7xlift
Roaming Throne
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Mastermind Plum
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
3.7xlift
Marionette Master
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
2.0xlift
Screaming Nemesis
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Walking Ballista
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Evereth, Viceroy of Plunder
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
5.4xlift
Decadent Dragon
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
3.0xlift
Ganax, Astral Hunter
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
4.5xlift
Instants
Dark Ritual
75%inclusion49 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Lightning Bolt
68%inclusion44 decks65 decks
1.8xlift
Deadly Dispute
58%inclusion38 decks65 decks
2.2xlift
Big Score
57%inclusion37 decks65 decks
2.1xlift
Bolt Bend
57%inclusion37 decks65 decks
1.8xlift
Seething Song
55%inclusion36 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
Redirect Lightning
52%inclusion34 decks65 decks
1.7xlift
Deflecting Swat
49%inclusion32 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Abrade
46%inclusion30 decks65 decks
1.9xlift
Chaos Warp
45%inclusion29 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Vampiric Tutor
43%inclusion28 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Fire Covenant
42%inclusion27 decks65 decks
3.1xlift
Unexpected Windfall
40%inclusion26 decks65 decks
2.1xlift
Deadly Rollick
31%inclusion20 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Rakdos Charm
28%inclusion18 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Pyretic Ritual
28%inclusion18 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
25%inclusion16 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Red Elemental Blast
25%inclusion16 decks65 decks
1.2xlift
Demand Answers
25%inclusion16 decks65 decks
1.6xlift
Cabal Ritual
23%inclusion15 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Untimely Malfunction
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Return the Favor
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
1.2xlift
Imp's Mischief
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Terminate
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
The Last Agni Kai
20%inclusion13 decks65 decks
1.7xlift
Starstorm
17%inclusion11 decks65 decks
4.9xlift
Pyroblast
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Valakut Awakening
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Flashback
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Thrill of Possibility
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Desperate Ritual
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Malakir Rebirth
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.4xlift
Withering Torment
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.4xlift
Fell the Profane
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.5xlift
Stinging Study
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
4.2xlift
Vision of Love
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
2.8xlift
Bedevil
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.3xlift
Choreographed Sparks
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
3.0xlift
Multiply by Zero
5.3%inclusion1 decks19 decks
3.2xlift
Sorceries
Chain Reaction
66%inclusion43 decks65 decks
5.5xlift
Jeska's Will
60%inclusion39 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Exsanguinate
60%inclusion39 decks65 decks
2.3xlift
Crackle with Power
57%inclusion37 decks65 decks
3.6xlift
Demonic Tutor
43%inclusion28 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Mana Geyser
42%inclusion27 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Night's Whisper
35%inclusion23 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Torment of Hailfire
31%inclusion20 decks65 decks
1.9xlift
Vandalblast
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Seize the Spoils
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
2.5xlift
Faithless Looting
20%inclusion13 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Sign in Blood
20%inclusion13 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Gamble
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Reckless Endeavor
17%inclusion11 decks65 decks
5.7xlift
Desolation of Smaug
17%inclusion11 decks65 decks
4.9xlift
Feed the Swarm
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
0.4xlift
Reanimate
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
0.4xlift
Wheel of Fortune
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Beseech the Mirror
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
Diabolic Intent
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Insatiable Avarice
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
1.6xlift
Diabolic Tutor
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Imperial Seal
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Read the Bones
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Rite of Flame
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Hell to Pay
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
4.2xlift
Jaya's Immolating Inferno
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
Rile
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
3.8xlift
Cut // Ribbons
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
2.1xlift
Fireball
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
3.8xlift
Strike It Rich
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Grim Tutor
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Grapeshot
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.5xlift
Chandra's Ignition
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Utility Artifacts
Blazing Sunsteel
65%inclusion42 decks65 decks
6.1xlift
Swiftfoot Boots
42%inclusion27 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Ruby Medallion
35%inclusion23 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
The One Ring
35%inclusion23 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
28%inclusion18 decks65 decks
3.3xlift
Fiendlash
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
5.5xlift
Requiem Monolith
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
5.9xlift
Jet Medallion
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Lightning Greaves
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.2xlift
Bolas's Citadel
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.3xlift
Cranial Plating
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
5.4xlift
Wishclaw Talisman
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Shadowspear
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
My Precious
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
3.3xlift
Enchantments
Revel in Riches
65%inclusion42 decks65 decks
4.3xlift
Black Market Connections
49%inclusion32 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
Alchemist's Talent
46%inclusion30 decks65 decks
4.7xlift
Rain of Riches
38%inclusion25 decks65 decks
4.6xlift
Spiteful Banditry
32%inclusion21 decks65 decks
4.5xlift
Descent into Avernus
25%inclusion16 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
Expedited Inheritance
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
5.7xlift
Fiery Emancipation
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Phyrexian Arena
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
There and Back Again
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
4.5xlift
City on Fire
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Underworld Breach
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
0.5xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
5.8xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
4.5xlift
Necropotence
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.5xlift
Curse of Opulence
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
1.8xlift
Last Laugh
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
5.4xlift
Utility Lands
Bojuka Bog
43%inclusion28 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Treasure Vault
32%inclusion21 decks65 decks
4.1xlift
Ancient Tomb
29%inclusion19 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
28%inclusion18 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Reliquary Tower
23%inclusion15 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Rogue's Passage
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
1.6xlift
Urza's Saga
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Mines of Moria
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
2.6xlift
Cabal Coffers
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Command Beacon
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Great Furnace
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
2.1xlift
Vault of Whispers
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
2.0xlift
Arena of Glory
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Valakut, the Molten Pinnacle
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
2.4xlift
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
1.7xlift
Mana Artifacts
Sol Ring
94%inclusion61 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Arcane Signet
92%inclusion60 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
62%inclusion40 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Rakdos Signet
54%inclusion35 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Fellwar Stone
32%inclusion21 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Lotus Petal
23%inclusion15 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Mana Vault
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Thought Vessel
22%inclusion14 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Chrome Mox
17%inclusion11 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Mind Stone
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Mox Opal
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.5xlift
Thran Dynamo
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
2.2xlift
Grim Monolith
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
1.9xlift
Cursed Mirror
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Dragon's Hoard
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
3.3xlift
Mox Diamond
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Exploding Barrel
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
6.7xlift
Mox Amber
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Lands
Swamp
100%inclusion65 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Mountain
100%inclusion65 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
94%inclusion61 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Blood Crypt
72%inclusion47 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Dragonskull Summit
72%inclusion47 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Smoldering Marsh
68%inclusion44 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Luxury Suite
62%inclusion40 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Sulfurous Springs
62%inclusion40 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Blazemire Verge
55%inclusion36 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Bloodstained Mire
54%inclusion35 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Haunted Ridge
52%inclusion34 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Foreboding Ruins
46%inclusion30 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Tainted Peak
42%inclusion27 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Blightstep Pathway
37%inclusion24 decks65 decks
1.2xlift
Graven Cairns
35%inclusion23 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Exotic Orchard
32%inclusion21 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Raucous Theater
31%inclusion20 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Mount Doom
26%inclusion17 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Dark Fortress
26%inclusion17 decks65 decks
1.6xlift
Cavern of Souls
23%inclusion15 decks65 decks
2.0xlift
Badlands
20%inclusion13 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Temple of Malice
18%inclusion12 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
17%inclusion11 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
15%inclusion10 decks65 decks
0.5xlift
Scalding Tarn
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.2xlift
Polluted Delta
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Valakut Awakening
14%inclusion9 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
Evolving Wilds
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Path of Ancestry
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Arid Mesa
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Mana Confluence
12%inclusion8 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Wooded Foothills
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
1.1xlift
Reflecting Pool
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
1.3xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
11%inclusion7 decks65 decks
1.4xlift
Turbulent Crater
11%inclusion2 decks19 decks
1.9xlift
Fabled Passage
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.8xlift
Verdant Catacombs
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Malakir Rebirth
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.4xlift
Marsh Flats
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
City of Brass
9.2%inclusion6 decks65 decks
0.7xlift
Fell the Profane
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.5xlift
Canyon Slough
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Myriad Landscape
7.7%inclusion5 decks65 decks
0.9xlift
Gemstone Caverns
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
0.6xlift
Geothermal Bog
6.2%inclusion4 decks65 decks
1.0xlift
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